Iran Update Special Edition: Israeli Strikes on Iran, June 13, 2025, Evening Edition

Ben Rezaei, Ria Reddy, Kelly Campa, Avery Borens, Johanna Moore, Nidal Morrison, Nicholas Carl, Andie Parry, Annika Ganzeveld, and Brian Carter

Information Cutoff: 2:00 PM ET 

The Critical Threats Project (CTP) at the American Enterprise Institute and the Institute for the Study of War (ISW) will be publishing multiple updates over the next 24 hours from June 12-13, 2025, to provide insights into the ongoing strike on Iran’s nuclear facilities, military infrastructure, and key military and nuclear program leadership. We will continue to produce Iran Update special editions until the strikes conclude. We will prioritize covering Iranian and Iranian-sponsored activities in response to the attacks that threaten US forces and interests.   

CTP-ISW will resume our coverage of the Israeli strikes on Iran tomorrow, June 14, 2025. We will produce two updates. The first will cover events between 2:00 PM ET on June 13 and 6:00 AM ET on June 14. The second update will cover events between 6:01 AM ET and 6:00 PM ET on June 14. We will continue to produce two updates per day while conditions warrant it.

Key Takeaways

• Israel launched an air campaign targeting the Iranian nuclear program and regime leadership on June 12 to “degrade, destroy, and remove [the] threat” of Iranian weaponization of its nuclear program. The June 12 to 13 strikes are the opening volley in a weekslong air campaign, according to multiple Israeli officials. It will be difficult to assess the success or failure of the Israeli air campaign based on these objectives in this early stage.
• Israel's strikes intended to impose discrete military effects on Iran that made it difficult for Iran to respond quickly. These effects included the suppression of Iranian air defenses, the degradation of Iran’s ability to retaliate against Israel, and the disruption of Iranian command and control. Israel’s ability to generate at least some of these effects has contributed to Israel’s immediate success and set conditions for Israel to continue and expand the campaign as needed.
• Israel has targeted Iranian nuclear infrastructure on June 12 and 13 in an effort to cripple Iran’s uranium enrichment capabilities. Israel struck enrichment capabilities at Natanz, nuclear facilities in Esfahan. There are unverified reports of strikes at or near Fordow, possibly targeting air defense systems.
• The IDF also targeted multiple Iranian military targets, including a major missile base in Kermanshah Province.
• The IDF targeted prominent members of the Iranian nuclear research network. Israel killed five senior Iranian nuclear scientists from Shahid Beheshti University on June 12 and 13.
• Unspecified Iranian sources told a New York Times journalist that Israeli strikes killed IRGC Quds Force Commander Brigadier General Esmail Ghaani.
• Iran has replaced its slain commanders with other high-ranking officers with long records of service to the regime.
• Iran conducted a two-wave ballistic missile attack targeting Israel from Iranian territory about 18 hours after the initial Israeli strikes. This retaliation seems to have had limited to no effect at this time.
• Iran’s partners and proxies in the Axis of Resistance—excluding the Houthis—released generic statements condemning the Israeli strikes and have not yet changed their behavior toward Israel. The parties gave no indication that they would intervene on behalf of Iran, reflecting how weakened they are after years of fighting Israel. The Houthis are the only Axis partner that has targeted Israel after the strikes.
• US President Donald Trump warned that "even more brutal” attacks on Iran will follow if Iran does not commit to a nuclear deal with the United States. Iran subsequently announced that it has withdrawn from the US-Iran nuclear talks.
• The US Navy deployed the USS Thomas Hudner to the eastern Mediterranean, presumably to assist Israeli ballistic missile defenses.

Israel launched an air campaign targeting the Iranian nuclear program and regime leadership on June 12 to “degrade, destroy, and remove [the] threat” of Iranian weaponization of its nuclear program.[1] The June 12 to 13 strikes are the opening volley in a weekslong air campaign, according to multiple Israeli officials.[2] It will be difficult to assess the success or failure of the Israeli air campaign based on these objectives in this early stage. The Israel Defense Forces (IDF) declassified an Israeli intelligence report on June 12 that argued that Iran was approaching a “point of no return” in its ability to weaponize its nuclear program.[3] The intelligence report, which cited the May 31 International Atomic Energy Agency comprehensive report, argued that Iran’s rapid enrichment of uranium would enable it to quickly weaponize and produce multiple nuclear weapons.[4] Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said on June 12 that the strikes are part of a campaign to “roll-back the Iranian threat to Israel’s survival.”[5] It is not immediately clear at what point Israel would determine that Iran’s nuclear program no longer poses a threat to its survival. An air campaign designed to cause significant damage to Iran’s nuclear program will nonetheless be a lengthy undertaking, as public statements by senior Israeli officials and comments by unspecified Israeli officials suggest.[6] An unspecified senior Israeli official cited by the Wall Street Journal on June 13 stated that Israel’s air campaign targeting Iranian nuclear and military targets is intended to force Iran into negotiations or incapacitate it.[7] An operation to force Iran to negotiate could be much less intensive than an operation to incapacitate Iran, for example.

Israel's strikes intended to impose discrete military effects on Iran that made it difficult for Iran to respond quickly. The strikes have targeted air defenses and missile sites as well as key leaders. These strikes appear to be imposing three effects on the Iranian military:

• Suppressing Iranian air defenses. Reports indicate that Israel has struck some key components of Iranian air defense systems, including an early-warning radar at the Khatam ol Anbia Western Air Defense Zone in Hamadan Province.[8] Other strikes may have hit the air defense base responsible for protecting the nuclear facility at Fordow.[9] Strikes that destroy components of Iran’s air defense systems will cause a temporary disruption to Iranian defenses that would enable Israeli 4th-generation, non-stealthy aircraft to operate in Iranian airspace with greater ease.

• Degrading Iranian retaliatory capabilities. Israeli airstrikes and drones have struck numerous Iranian ballistic missile silos and launchers. These strikes may have destroyed some of Iran’s missiles, launchers, and missile stockpiles, which would limit Iran’s ability to immediately retaliate in a meaningful way.[10] Iran claimed on June 11 that it had finalized plans for an “immediate counterstrike” against Israel that would involve hundreds of ballistic missiles, but may have only been able to enact part of its plan due to degraded capabilities.[11] CTP-ISW is currently monitoring a large-scale Iranian missile attack targeting Israel, which may suggest that the degradation of Iran’s retaliatory capability had only a limited temporal effect (see below under “Iranian Retaliation”).

• Disrupting Iranian command-and-control. Israel has conducted a decapitation campaign targeting Iranian military leadership.[12]  This disruption is temporary and limited, however. Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei has already appointed successors for a majority of the military leadership that killed.[13] Iran has presumably already drafted a plan for retaliation that these successors can adopt. The successors may have difficulty implementing the retaliation plan, however, given the losses incurred from Israeli strikes targeting Iran’s retaliatory capabilities.

These constraints have contributed to Israel’s immediate success and set conditions for Israel to continue and expand the campaign as needed. Israeli strikes on nuclear facilities serve Israel’s long-term purpose of removing the Iranian nuclear threat and protecting Israel.

Israel has targeted Iranian nuclear infrastructure on June 12 and 13 in an effort to cripple Iran’s uranium enrichment capabilities. Israel struck several facilities at the Natanz Enrichment Complex. Satellite imagery confirmed that Israeli airstrikes destroyed the Pilot Fuel Enrichment Plant (PFEP) at Natanz.[14] The PFEP housed over 1,700 advanced centrifuges, including IR-4 and IR-6 centrifuges, to produce 60 percent enriched uranium. Satellite imagery also confirmed that the strike damaged electrical substations and support buildings critical to the power supply across the facility. International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) Director General Rafael Grossi confirmed on June 13 that a strike hit the Natanz site but said IAEA monitoring and Iranian reports showed ”no elevated radiation levels.“[15] A senior Israeli official told Israeli media that Israel dealt a "severe blow" to Natanz but did not destroy it, and "there will be more strikes.”[16] This is consistent with CTP-ISW's observation that these strikes are only the initial volley in an air campaign.

Israel also struck nuclear facilities at the Esfahan Nuclear Technology Center (ENTC) in Esfahan Province, including a metallic uranium production facility and infrastructure for re-converting enriched uranium to produce nuclear fuel.[17] The ENTC houses several other nuclear facilities, including a Uranium Conversion Facility, Fuel Manufacturing Plant, and Fuel Fabrication Laboratory, as well as reactors. 

There are unverified reports claiming Israel targeted Fordow Fuel Enrichment.[18] The Fordow site is especially hardened against strikes, as much of the facility extends deep underground.

Iranian media reported on June 13 that an Israeli strike killed one Artesh colonel and one soldier at the Hazrat-e Masoumeh air defense site in Qom Province, which protects the nuclear facility at Fordow.[19] It remains unclear whether the colonel commanded the air defense site. The air defense site, also known as the Fordow Air Defense Group, sits roughly 16 km east of the Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant (FFEP).[20] Khatam ol Anbia Air Defense Commander Brigadier General Alireza Sabahi Fard previously inspected the site on April 16 to assess operational readiness.[21]

The IDF targeted multiple Iranian military targets, including a major missile base in Kermanshah Province. Satellite imagery shows that Israeli airstrikes destroyed a facility that Iran likely used to store ballistic missiles.[22] The base reportedly supports missile deployments in western Iran and stores ballistic missiles, including the Qiam-1.[23] Iranian media reported that the IDF also targeted the Artesh Air Force 2nd Tactical Airbase in Tabriz and other unspecified military sites in East Azerbaijan Province.[24] 

IRGC-affiliated media also confirmed on June 13 that the IDF targeted the following locations:[25]

• Israeli strikes targeted multiple areas in Tehran Province, with explosions heard in the neighborhoods of Robat Karim, Baharestan, Malard, and Shahr-e Rey in Tehran City.
• Iranian air defense systems activated over Andimeshk and Dezful (Khuzestan Province), Esfahan, Pakdasht (Tehran Province), and Qom.
• Iranian officials confirmed that strikes took place in Bostan Abad and Maragheh (East Azerbaijan Province) and in Zanjan Province. Iranian officials confirmed damage to Tabriz Airbase and Madani Airport.
• Explosions were reported in Buin Zahra (Ghazvin Province) and Mohammad Shahr (Alborz Province).

The IDF targeted prominent members of the Iranian nuclear research network. Israel killed five senior Iranian nuclear scientists from Shahid Beheshti University on June 12 and 13.[26] Shahid Beheshti University, which is located in Tehran, plays a significant role in Iranian nuclear research. The United States and the European Union have sanctioned Shahid Beheshti University for its connections to the Iranian nuclear program.[27] Iranian media confirmed that the IDF killed the following individuals:[28]

• Fereydoon Abbasi: Iranian nuclear scientist and former head of the Atomic Energy Organization of Iran (AEOI).
• Mohammad Mehdi Tehranchi: Professor of physics and former Amad Project supervisor. The Amad Project was Iran’s nuclear weapons program prior to 2003.
• Ahmad Reza Zolfaghari: Nuclear engineering professor at the Shahid Beheshti University
• Abdol Hamid Minouchehr: Dean of the Shahid Beheshti University nuclear faculty.
• Amir Hossein Feghhi: Head of the Nuclear Science and Technology Research Center, which operates under the AEOI.[29]

Unspecified Iranian sources told a New York Times journalist that Israeli strikes killed IRGC Quds Force Commander Brigadier General Esmail Ghaani.[30] Ghaani took the position after the United States killed his predecessor, Qassem Soleimani, in Baghdad in January 2020. Ghaani was responsible for managing and supporting the Axis of Resistance. See the “Iranian Response to Israeli Strikes” section for biographies of the commanders who will replace the dead Iranian officers.

The Israeli air campaign will likely continue in the coming days. An unspecified senior Israeli official told the Wall Street Journal that Israel planned for the campaign to take place over 14 days.[31]

Iranian Retaliation

Iran conducted a two-wave ballistic missile attack targeting Israel from Iranian territory about 18 hours after the initial Israeli strikes.[32] The IRGC announced that it targeted dozens of Israeli military sites and airbases.[33] Iran launched less than 100 ballistic missiles at Israel during the attack, according to the IDF.[34] Israeli air defenses reportedly intercepted the majority of the Iranian missiles that crossed into Israeli territory.[35] A senior US official and an Israeli official said that US THAAD systems intercepted some of the missiles.[36] At least seven missiles or Israeli interceptors impacted in Tel Aviv.[37] A fire also broke out in northern Israel due to fallen missile fragments.[38] Israeli emergency services reported that the attacks have injured at least 35 people as of this writing.[39] Sources may misinterpret information about this attack. Social media users posted footage that showed dozens of bright streaks in the sky during the October 2024 Iranian ballistic missile attack on Israel and claimed that all the streaks were ballistic missiles, for example. It later emerged that some of the streaks were ballistic missile interceptors, not missiles. Iranian state media is incentivized to exaggerate the success of the attack and may spread misleading information.[40]

This is the third direct attack that Iran has ever conducted on Israel. The IRGC named the attack “Operation True Promise III” and declared that the attack was in retaliation for the recent Israeli strikes on Iranian territory.[41] Iran conducted Operation True Promise I and Operation True Promise II against Israel in April and October 2024, respectively.[42] Iran initially responded to the recent Israeli air campaign by launching over 100 drones at Israel from Iran about six hours after the initial Israeli strikes.[43] None of the drones entered Israeli airspace, however.[44] CTP-ISW will publish further analysis about Iran’s retaliatory strikes on Israel in future updates.

Iranian Response to the Israeli Strikes

Iranian Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei gave an extremely rare, televised address during which he vowed to retaliate against Israel.[45] Khamenei said that Iran will respond with force and make Israel “helpless.” The Iranian Supreme National Security Council previously stated on June 9 that Iran would strike Israeli nuclear facilities in retaliation.[46]

Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian held a phone call with Russian President Vladimir Putin, which marks Pezeshkian’s first call with a foreign leader since Israel launched its air campaign.[47] The Iranian readout claimed that Pezeshkian and Putin condemned the Israeli strikes. It is notable that Pezeshkian’s first call was to Putin and illustrates the close and growing relationship between Iran and Russia.

As CTP-ISW already reported, Khamenei has appointed new leaders to replace some of the senior officers whom Israel has killed.[48] The following is a brief description of the promoted individuals.

Abdol Rahim Mousavi is a career Artesh officer and was the overall Artesh commander before Khamenei appointed him as Armed Forces General Staff (AFGS) chief. His appointment marks the first time in the history of the Islamic Republic that an Artesh officer has held this position; Khamenei has usually selected IRGC officers for the post. Nevertheless, Mousavi is a sensible choice for two reasons. He has some experience managing and coordinating between the armed forces at this level, as he was the AFGS deputy chief from 2016 to 2017. Furthermore, Mousavi is deeply ideological, despite being an Artesh member, having declared repeatedly in recent years that he would have served in the IRGC’s paramilitary Basij if he were not already in the Artesh.[49] Khamenei has thus empowered a competent and deeply loyal officer to manage the Iranian armed forces. Khamenei previously entrusted Mousavi with managing the Iranian integrated air defense network in 2019, further highlighting the trust that Khamenei has in him.[50]

Mohammad Pak Pour was the commander of the IRGC Ground Forces before Khamenei appointed him to be the overall IRGC commander. Khamenei seems to have significant confidence in Pak Pour, given that Khamenei has kept him as the IRGC Ground Forces commander since 2009. During this time, Pak Pour oversaw the deployment of IRGC Ground Forces cadres to Syria to support the effort to keep Bashar al Assad in power.[51] These cadres reflected the growing Iranian focus on expeditionary operations and coalition warfare with the Axis of Resistance and Russia. Pak Pour also commanded the IRGC Ground Forces through intense periods of social unrest in Iran. The IRGC Ground Forces deployed in some cases to brutally suppress anti-regime demonstrations.[52] That Pak Pour kept his position through this unrest is even more remarkable when considering that Khamenei has replaced virtually every other major official responsible for internal security in recent years.

Ali Shadmani was the Khatam ol Anbia Central Headquarters coordination deputy before Khamenei appointed him to command the headquarters. Coordination deputies in Iran are roughly equivalent to a chief of staff in the US military. Shadmani spent his career commanding different units in the IRGC Ground Forces before going to the headquarters. CTP-ISW previously identified Shadmani as a rising figure in the military establishment, as influential military figures appeared to favor and empower him.[53]

It remains unclear at the time of this writing who will replace IRGC Aerospace Force Commander Brigadier General Amir Ali Hajji Zadeh and IRGC Quds Force Commander Brigadier General Esmail Ghaani.

Axis of Resistance Response to Israeli Strikes

Iran’s partners and proxies in the Axis of Resistance—excluding the Houthis—released generic statements condemning the Israeli strikes and have not yet changed their behavior toward Israel. The parties gave no indication that they would intervene on behalf of Iran, reflecting how weakened they are after years of fighting Israel. Hamas condemned the Israeli strikes, stating that the strikes call for “a unified stance from the nation and its vital forces in the face of this dangerous aggression.“[54] Several Iranian-backed Iraqi militias condemned the strikes and stated that “Iraq may not remain inactive” if the conflict escalates.[55]

An unspecified Hezbollah official told Western media that Hezbollah “will not unilaterally launch an attack on Israel in support of Tehran.”[56] Hezbollah issued a statement condemning the Israeli strikes and expressing its “full solidarity” with Iran.[57] Hezbollah’s decision not to support Iran and its relative impotence in the face of Israeli strikes on Iran’s nuclear facilities demonstrate how Hezbollah was defeated and deterred by Israel after the November 2024 Hezbollah-Israel ceasefire agreement.[58] Hezbollah would have naturally led an Axis-wide response to a potential US or Israeli strike on Iran in the past. The defeats that Israel has imposed upon the Axis of Resistance since 2023 appear to have enabled the strikes against the Iranian military and nuclear sites.

The Houthis’ Political Bureau stated that it stands with Iran “in its legitimate right to respond to the aggression against it.”[59] The Houthis are the only Axis of Resistance member that has targeted Israel since Israel’s air campaign. The Political Bureau called on the Muslim world “to emerge from the state of silence and inaction” as Israel “threatens everyone and excludes no one.”[60] The IDF reported that Israeli air defense systems detected a missile launched from Yemen on June 13 at 12:32 ET that fell in the Hebron area of Israel.[61] The Houthis have regularly struck Israel with drones and missiles since November 2024.[62]  Houthis have not confirmed or commented on this launch at the time of writing. The Houthis recently threatened to resume attacks targeting US interests following a potential US or Israeli attack on Iran.[63] CTP-ISW has observed that the Houthis retain the ability to resume their attacks on international shipping or US targets at any time and for any reason.

US Response to Israeli Strikes

US President Donald Trump warned that "even more brutal” attacks on Iran will follow if Iran does not commit to a nuclear deal with the United States.[64] Iran subsequently announced that it has withdrawn from the US-Iran nuclear talks.[65] Trump noted on social media that the Israeli strikes took place one day after the expiration of his 60-day ultimatum to Iran to agree to a nuclear deal.[66] Trump said Iran now has a "second chance" to commit to a deal and that he hopes that Iran will return to the “negotiating table.”[67] An unspecified US official said that US Special Envoy to the Middle East and lead US negotiator Steve Witkoff still wants to meet Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi on June 15 for the previously scheduled sixth round of talks.[68] Iranian state media announced on June 13 that the US-Iran nuclear talks are suspended indefinitely.[69]

Senior Iranian officials had continued to signal in the days leading up to the Israeli strike that Iran intended to reject the US demand for zero uranium enrichment. An Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps-affiliated newspaper stated on June 11 that Iran is "ready to leave the negotiating table" if Iran’s demands are not met. These demands are a reference to Iran's demand to maintain domestic uranium enrichment capabilities.[70] Iran had signaled interest in recent days in an interim deal with the United States, possibly because Iran calculated that reaching an interim or framework deal with the United States at the meeting would delay or prevent US or Israeli strikes on Iran. Such a calculation will have undoubtedly changed in light of Israel’s strikes.

Unspecified US officials told the Associated Press that the US Navy ordered the USS Thomas Hudner destroyer to deploy to the eastern Mediterranean Sea.[71] The Navy also ordered a second unspecified destroyer to move toward the Middle East. Western media reported that Iran summoned the Swiss ambassador to Iran to deliver a warning to the United States that Iran will hold the United States accountable for its cooperation and coordination with Israel and for giving Israel a “green light” to attack Iran.[72] Trump confirmed on June 12 that the United States was aware of the planned Israeli attack before it occurred but emphasized that the United States had no military involvement.[73] Trump said that the United States would defend itself and Israel from an Iranian retaliatory attack.[74] The deployment of the USS Thomas Hudner to the region is part of the US effort to defend US assets and Israel.

 

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[60] https://x.com/abdusalamsalah/status/1933416806787727401?s=46&t=nQTab-m77zhUUBSh8E68DQ)

[61] https://x.com/idfonline/status/1933563094443118908 ; https://x.com/idfonline/status/1933568664785088767

[62] https://english.alarabiya dot net/News/middle-east/2024/11/11/houthis-fired-missiles-targeting-military-base-in-area-of-israel-s-tel-aviv-spokesperson- ; https://www.middleeasteye.net/news/houthis-claim-missile-attack-israels-ben-gurion-airport ; ﷟HYPERLINK "https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/iran-update-june-5-2025"https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/iran-update-june-5-2025

[63] https://www.newsweek.com/exclusive-houthis-warn-us-israel-war-if-iran-attacked-2084306

[64] https://x.com/JasonMBrodsky/status/1933468424027455817

[65] https://timesofoman dot com/article/159200-iran-announces-withdrawal-from-6th-round-of-talks-with-us

[66] https://x.com/TrumpDailyPosts/status/1933516835397218493

[67] https://x.com/JenGriffinFNC/status/1933369583726920116; https://x.com/TrumpDailyPosts/status/1933516835397218493

[68] https://www.axios.com/2025/06/13/trump-iran-nuclear-deal-israel-attack; https://x.com/badralbusaidi/status/1933045263267995878    

[69] https://timesofoman dot com/article/159200-iran-announces-withdrawal-from-6th-round-of-talks-with-us; https://english dot ahram.org.eg/NewsContent/2/8/547877/World/Region/Iran-halts-nuclear-talks-with-US-after-Israeli-str.aspx

[70] https://www.javanonline dot ir/fa/news/1302348/ 

[71] https://apnews.com/live/israel-iran-attack#00000197-6988-d617-a597-7f99dc510000

[72] https://www.cnn.com/world/live-news/israel-iran-strikes-news-06-12-25-hnk-intl#cmbuxi9lv00203b6v9s4guulm

[73] https://x.com/JenGriffinFNC/status/1933369583726920116

[74] https://x.com/JenGriffinFNC/status/1933369583726920116

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, June 13, 2025

Christina Harward, Daria Novikov, Olivia Gibson, Jennie Olmsted, Jessica Sobieski, and George Barros

June 13, 2025, 5:30 pm ET

Click here to see ISW’s interactive map of the Russian invasion of Ukraine. This map is updated daily alongside the static maps present in this report.

Click here to see ISW's interactive map of Ukraine's offensive in Kursk Oblast.

Click here to see ISW’s 3D control of terrain topographic map of Ukraine. Use of a computer (not a mobile device) is strongly recommended for using this data-heavy tool.

Click here to access ISW’s archive of interactive time-lapse maps of the Russian invasion of Ukraine. These maps complement the static control-of-terrain map that ISW produces daily by showing a dynamic frontline. ISW will update this time-lapse map archive monthly.

Note: The data cut-off for this product was 11:30 am ET on June 13. ISW will cover subsequent reports in the June 14 Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment.

 

Russian officials largely condemned the June 13 Israeli strikes against Iran, as Russian President Vladimir Putin continued to offer to facilitate negotiations on Iran's nuclear program. Putin had separate phone calls with Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian and Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu on June 13.[1] The Kremlin claimed that Putin condemned Israel's strikes as violations of the UN Charter and international law. Putin reportedly stated that Russia supports efforts to resolve the situation about Iran's nuclear program and noted that Russia has already suggested initiatives aimed at finding a "mutually acceptable agreement." The Kremlin claimed that Putin emphasized to Netanyahu the importance of returning to the negotiation process and resolving issues about Iran's nuclear program through political and diplomatic means. Putin reportedly told Netanyahu that Russia is willing to mediate talks between Iran and Israel.

The Russian Ministry of Foreign Affairs (MFA) condemned Israel's strikes against Iran and notably claimed that "unprovoked military strikes against a sovereign UN member state, its citizens, sleeping peaceful cities, and nuclear energy infrastructure facilities are categorically unacceptable."[2] The Russian MFA claimed that these Israeli strikes against Iran undermined and set back efforts to find solutions to "eliminate any suspicions and prejudices regarding Iran's peaceful nuclear energy." The Russian MFA blamed Western states for provoking anti-Iranian "hysteria" in the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA), referencing a June 10 resolution that the United States and E3 (United Kingdom, Germany, and France) proposed to declare Iran as noncompliant with its nuclear safeguarding obligations.[3] The Russian MFA issued travel advisories for Russian citizens for Israel and Iran.[4] The Russian Embassy in Iran called on Russian citizens and "compatriots" in Iran to avoid military facilities and refrain from photographing or videoing "any part of Iran," and the Russian Embassy in Israel called for Russians in Israel to leave the country.[5]

Other Kremlin officials condemned Israel and the West for the strikes and advocated for a political and diplomatic Israeli-Iranian settlement.[6] First Deputy Chairperson of the Russian State Duma Defense Committee Alexei Zhuravlev claimed that Russia's ties with Iran, including military ties, can become closer if necessary.[7] Zhuravlev claimed that Russia has provided Iran with air defense systems and praised Iran's military technology, including technology that Russia helps Iran develop. Zhuravlev criticized the West for perpetuating "global injustice" and inequality and claimed that Russia's war in Ukraine is aimed at fighting this injustice.[8]

ISW will report further on the Russian reaction to the Israeli strikes against Iran in the upcoming Adversary Entente Task Force Update.

Oil price increases following Israeli strikes against Iran may increase Russian revenue from oil sales and improve Russia's ability to sustain its war effort in Ukraine. Brent crude oil futures prices rose by over five percent to $74.47 per barrel on June 13 following the Israeli strikes against Iran.[9] Russia's oil and gas earnings accounted for roughly 30 percent of total federal revenues in 2024, underscoring the significant role oil and gas revenues play in financing Russian government spending.[10] ISW previously assessed that compounding economic constraints on Russia are increasingly hindering Russia's ability to sustain a prolonged war effort in Ukraine.[11] Russia may be able to leverage sudden upticks in oil prices to weather economic challenges and finance a protracted war in Ukraine, assuming the price of oil remains high (such as over $60 per barrel). Russian President Vladimir Putin has previously signaled concern about reduced oil prices, suggesting that any reduction in the oil price would likely risk destabilizing Russia's economy.[12] 

The Kremlin is continuing efforts to prepare the Russian defense industrial base (DIB) for a protracted war with Ukraine and a potential future war with NATO. Russian President Vladimir Putin opened the June 12 round of government discussions about the Russian State Rearmament Program for 2027-2036 that focused on the modernization and improvement of Russian air defense, space, drone, and robotic systems.[13] Putin claimed that Russia’s air defense systems have downed over 80,000 air targets since February 2022, 7,500 of which Putin claimed were operational-tactical and cruise missiles. Putin claimed that almost all these missiles were Western-manufactured. Putin claimed that the war in Ukraine has demonstrated Russia’s need for a "universal air defense system" capable of intercepting all projectiles regardless of their type. Putin also stated that the State Rearmament Program must focus on developing and proliferating advanced digital technologies and artificial intelligence (AI) in Russian military systems and equipment and that Russia must develop a group of unspecified spacecraft to increase Russia's reconnaissance and real-time command and control capabilities. Putin’s statements regarding the need for enhanced Russian air defense systems are likely in part a response to Ukraine’s “Operation Spider Web,” in which Ukrainian forces demonstrated an ability to achieve operational surprise and launch drones against airbases in Russia's deep rear, highlighting the inability of air defenses in these areas to repel short-range Ukrainian first-person view (FPV) drone strikes.[14]

It is unclear how Russia intends to finance these large-scale modernization efforts. Russia’s DIB struggled to fulfill domestic and foreign contractual obligations even before the West implemented sanctions against Russia in response to the full-scale invasion of Ukraine in 2022.[15] Russia is also investing in the modernization and expansion of the Russian Navy and will need to reconstitute the Black Sea Fleet (BSF), which has suffered significant damage from Ukrainian strikes.[16] Increased oil prices as a result of Israeli strikes against Iran may help Russia finance some of these efforts should oil prices remain high in the medium- to long-term. The Kremlin is likely employing lessons learned in Russia’s war against Ukraine to inform adaptations of Russia’s military and preparing Russia’s DIB for a protracted war against Ukraine and a potential confrontation with NATO.[17]

Russia released the bodies of killed in action (KIA) Ukrainian servicemembers to Ukraine on June 13. The Ukrainian Coordination Headquarters for the Treatment of Prisoners of War (POWs) reported on June 13 that Russia returned 1,200 bodies of Ukrainian citizens, a majority of which were military personnel.[18]

Key Takeaways:

• Russian officials largely condemned the June 13 Israeli strikes against Iran, as Russian President Vladimir Putin continued to offer to facilitate negotiations on Iran's nuclear program.
• Oil price increases following Israeli strikes against Iran may increase Russian revenue from oil sales and improve Russia's ability to sustain its war effort in Ukraine.
• The Kremlin is continuing efforts to prepare the Russian defense industrial base (DIB) for a protracted war with Ukraine and a potential future war with NATO.
• Russia released the bodies of killed in action (KIA) Ukrainian servicemembers to Ukraine on June 13.
• Ukrainian forces advanced near Toretsk. Russian forces advanced in northern Sumy Oblast and near Chasiv Yar, Pokrovsk, and Velyka Novosilka.

We do not report in detail on Russian war crimes because these activities are well-covered in Western media and do not directly affect the military operations we are assessing and forecasting. We will continue to evaluate and report on the effects of these criminal activities on the Ukrainian military and the Ukrainian population and specifically on combat in Ukrainian urban areas. We utterly condemn Russian violations of the laws of armed conflict and the Geneva Conventions and crimes against humanity even though we do not describe them in these reports.

• Ukrainian Operations in the Russian Federation
• Russian Supporting Effort – Northern Axis
• Russian Main Effort – Eastern Ukraine (comprised of three subordinate main efforts)
• Russian Subordinate Main Effort #1 – Push Ukrainian forces back from the international border with Belgorod Oblast and approach to within tube artillery range of Kharkiv City
• Russian Subordinate Main Effort #2 – Capture the remainder of Luhansk Oblast and push westward into eastern Kharkiv Oblast and encircle northern Donetsk Oblast
• Russian Subordinate Main Effort #3 – Capture the entirety of Donetsk Oblast, the claimed territory of Russia’s proxies in Donbas, and possibly advance into Dnipropetrovsk Oblast
• Russian Supporting Effort – Southern Axis
• Russian Air, Missile, and Drone Campaign
• Significant Activity in Belarus

Ukrainian Operations in the Russian Federation

Ukrainian and Russian forces continued offensive operations in Kursk Oblast on June 13 but did not advance.

Russian forces conducted ground assaults in unspecified areas in Kursk Oblast on June 12 and 13.[19] Russian milbloggers claimed that Ukrainian forces attacked toward Tetkino (southwest of Glushkovo) from Ryzhivka (southeast of Tetkino) and attacked toward the international border from Obody (south of Glushkovo).[20]

Order of Battle: Drone operators of the Russian 1427th Motorized Rifle Regiment (18th Machine Gun Artillery Division, 68th Army Corps [AC], Eastern Military District [EMD]) and the 217th Airborne (VDV) Regiment (98th VDV Division) are reportedly striking Ukrainian forces in the Tetkino direction.[21]

Neither Ukrainian nor Russian sources reported ground activity in northwestern Belgorod on June 13.

Russian Supporting Effort – Northern Axis (Russian objective: Create defensible buffer zones in northern Ukraine along the international border and approach to within tube artillery range of Sumy City)

Russian forces recently advanced in Sumy Oblast.

Assessed Russian advances: Geolocated footage published on June 13 indicates that Russian forces advanced in northeastern Yablunivka (northeast of Sumy City).[22]

Unconfirmed claims: The Russian Ministry of Defense (MoD) and Russian milbloggers claimed that Russian forces seized all Yablunivka.[23] Russian milbloggers claimed Russian forces advanced south, northwest, and west of Yunakivka; to the northern outskirts of Mala Korchakivka; near Novomykolaivka; and towards Khotin (all north of Sumy City).[24]

Russian forces conducted offensive operations northeast of Sumy City near Yablunivka and Yunakivka on June 13.[25] Russian milbloggers claimed that Ukrainian forces counterattacked near Kindrativka (north of Sumy City), Novomykolaivka, Yunakivka, and Andriivka.[26]

Order of Battle: Drone operators of the Russian 83rd Airborne (VDV) Brigade are reportedly operating in unspecified locations in Sumy Oblast.[27] Elements of the 11th VDV Brigade (106th VDV Division) are reportedly operating in Yablunivka.[28]

Russian Main Effort – Eastern Ukraine

Russian Subordinate Main Effort #1 – Kharkiv Oblast (Russian objective: Push Ukrainian forces back from the international border with Belgorod Oblast and approach to within tube artillery range of Kharkiv City)

Russian forces continued offensive operations in northern Kharkiv Oblast on June 13 but did not advance.

Russian forces conducted offensive operations northeast of Kharkiv City near Vovchansk on June 12 and 13.[29] A Russian milblogger claimed that Russian forces intensified combat operations near Lyptsi, Kozacha Lopan, Hraniv (all north of Kharkiv City), and Zolochiv (northwest of Kharkiv City).[30] A Russian milblogger claimed Ukrainian forces counterattacked in the Lyptsi direction.[31]

Ukrainian Kharkiv Group of Forces Spokesperson Lieutenant Colonel Pavlo Shamshyn reported that Russian forces near Vovchansk are attacking using motorcycles and all-terrain vehicles (ATVs) in order to quickly move soldiers between positions.[32]

Russian Subordinate Main Effort #2 – Luhansk Oblast (Russian objective: Capture the remainder of Luhansk Oblast and push westward into eastern Kharkiv Oblast and northern Donetsk Oblast)

Russian forces continued offensive operations in the Kupyansk direction on June 13 but did not make confirmed advances.

Unconfirmed claims: A Russian milblogger claimed that Russian forces advanced east of Kurylivka (southeast of Kupyansk).[33]

Russian forces conducted offensive operations northeast of Kupyansk near Dvorichna and Kamyanka, north of Kupyansk near Kindrashivka, and southeast of Kupyansk near Stepova Novoselivka and toward Pishchane on June 12 and 13.[34]

The spokesperson of a Ukrainian brigade operating in the Kupyansk direction reported that Russian forces are attacking in the area less than in May 2025 and have switched tactics to use motorcycles, all-terrain vehicles (ATVs), and buggies instead of heavy equipment.[35] The spokesperson stated that Russian forces usually deploy two motorcycles at the same time to pick up personnel and deliver ammunition.

Russian forces continued offensive operations in the Borova direction on June 13 but did not advance.

Russian forces conducted offensive operations north of Borova toward Novoplatonivka, northeast of Borova near Nova Kruhlyakivka and Bohuslavka, east of Borova near Nadiya and Serhiivka, and southeast of Borova toward Novoserhiivka on June 12 and 13.[36]

Russian forces continued offensive operations in the Lyman direction on June 13 but did not make confirmed advances.

Unconfirmed claims: A Russian milblogger claimed that Russian forces advanced north of Kolodyazi (northeast of Lyman).[37]

Russian forces conducted offensive operations northwest of Lyman toward Shandryholove; north of Lyman near Novyi Myr, Lypove, Ridkodub, Karpivka, and Zelena Dolyna; northeast of Lyman near Yampolivka; and east of Lyman near Torske on June 12 and 13.[38]

Order of Battle: Elements of the Russian 144th Motorized Rifle Division (20th Combined Arms Army [CAA], Moscow Military District [MMD]) are reportedly operating near Ridkodub.[39]

Russian Subordinate Main Effort #3 – Donetsk Oblast (Russian objective: Capture the entirety of Donetsk Oblast, the claimed territory of Russia’s proxies in Donbas, and possibly advance into Dnipropetrovsk Oblast)

Russian forces continued offensive operations in the Siversk direction on June 13 but did not make confirmed advances.

Unconfirmed claims: Russian milbloggers claimed that Russian forces advanced south and southwest of Hryhorivka, within Hyrhorivka, and north of Bilohorivka (both northeast of Siversk).[40]

Russian forces attacked northeast of Siversk near Serebryanka and Hryhorivka and east of Siversk near Verkhnokamyanske on June 12 and 13.[41]

The spokesperson of a Ukrainian brigade operating in the Siversk direction stated that Russian forces are using motorized vehicles more often in attacks instead of tanks and infantry fighting vehicles (IFVs).[42]

Order of Battle: Elements of the Russian 7th Motorized Rifle Brigade (3rd Combined Arms Army [CAA], formerly 2nd Luhansk People's Republic Army Corps [LNR AC], Southern Military District [SMD]) are reportedly operating in Hryhorivka.[43]

Russian forces recently advanced in the Chasiv Yar direction.

Assessed Russian advances: Geolocated footage published on June 12 indicates that Russian forces recently advanced southeast of Bila Hora (southeast of Chasiv Yar).[44]

Unconfirmed claims: Russian milbloggers claimed that Russian forces recently advanced west and northwest of and within Chasiv Yar, including within Shevchenko Microraion (southwestern Chasiv Yar).[45]

Russian forces attacked near Chasiv Yar itself, northeast of Chasiv Yar near Orikhovo-Vasylivka and toward Markove, and southeast of Chasiv Yar near Ozaryanivka, Kurdyumivka, Andriivka, and Stupochky and toward Bila Hora on June 12 and 13.[46]

The spokesperson of a Ukrainian brigade operating in the Chasiv Yar direction reported that Russian forces are increasing their use of first-person view (FPV) drones with fiber optic cables.[47] Ukrainian Luhansk Group of Forces Spokesperson Lieutenant Colonel Dmytro Zaporozhets reported on June 13 that Russian forces in the Kramatorsk (Chasiv Yar) direction are increasing their reconnaissance drone use in order to identify Ukrainian ground lines of communication (GLOCs).[48] Zaporozhets also stated that widespread use of Russian electronic warfare (EW) in the Kramatorsk direction is complicating Ukrainian forces’ attempts to conduct counterstrikes using FPV drones.

Order of Battle: Elements of the Russian 98th Airborne (VDV) Division, including its 661st VDV Engineering-Sapper Battalion and 331st VDV Regiment, are reportedly operating in the Chasiv Yar direction.[49]

Ukrainian forces recently advanced in the Toretsk direction.

Assessed Ukrainian advances: Geolocated footage published on June 12 indicates that Ukrainian forces recently recaptured positions in northern Dyliivka (north of Toretsk) and in southern Oleksandro-Kalynove (west of Toretsk).[50]

Unconfirmed claims: Russian milbloggers claimed on June 12 and 13 that Russian forces advanced northwest and south of Dyliivka and toward Katerynivka (northwest of Toretsk).[51] Russian milbloggers also claimed that Russian forces advanced west of Toretsk, east of Kleban-Byk (northwest of Toretsk), to southwestern Novopaske, to western Yablunivka (both west of Toretsk), and northeast and north of Romanivka (southwest of Toretsk).[52]

Russian forces attacked near Toretsk itself; north of Toretsk near Dyliivka; northwest of Toretsk near Rusyn Yar, Poltavka, Popiv Yar, and Yablunivka; west of Toretsk near Shcherbynivka and Oleksandro-Kalynove; and southwest of Toretsk near Romanivka on June 12 and 13.[53]

Zaporozhets reported on June 13 that Russian forces intensified assaults near Dyliivk and Yablunivka and are using motorcycles to ambush Ukrainian forces near windbreaks.[54] A Ukrainian servicemember operating in the Kostyantynivka (Toretsk) direction stated on June 13 that Russian forces near Toretsk are increasingly conducting assaults with infantry groups and motorcycles to support efforts to advance to Kostyantynivka (northwest of Toretsk).[55]

Order of Battle: Drone operators of the "Berkut Group" of the Russian 238th Artillery Brigade (8th CAA, SMD) and elements of the 346th Spetsnaz Brigade (Russian General Staff's Main Directorate [GRU]) are reportedly striking Ukrainian forces near Kostyantynivka.[56] Elements of the 20th Motorized Rifle Division (8th CAA) are reportedly operating south of Yablunivka.[57] Elements of the 68th Tank Regiment (150th Motorized Rifle Division, 8th CAA) are reportedly operating north of Romanivka.[58] Drone operators of the 57th Separate Spetsnaz Company (GRU) are reportedly striking Ukrainian positions in central Oleksandro-Kalynove.[59]

Russian forces recently advanced in the Pokrovsk direction.

Assessed Russian advances: Geolocated footage published on June 12 shows Ukrainian forces striking Russian forces in northern Kotlyne (southwest of Pokrovsk), indicating that Russian forces recently seized the settlement.[60] Additional geolocated footage published on June 11 indicates that Russian forces recently marginally advanced north of Malynivka (east of Pokrovsk).[61]

Unconfirmed claims: The Russian Ministry of Defense (MoD) claimed on June 13 that Russian forces seized Koptieve (northeast of Pokrovsk).[62] Russian milbloggers claimed that Russian forces advanced south and southeast of Koptieve, east and northeast of Pishchane (south of Pokrovsk), south of Malynivka, and northeast of Myrne (east of Pokrovsk).[63]

Russian forces attacked northeast of Pokrovsk near Myrne and Malynivka; east of Pokrovsk near Yelyzavetivka, Myrolyubivka, and Promin; southeast of Pokrovsk near Lysivka and Novohrodivka; and southwest of Pokrovsk near Zvirove, Kotlyne, and Udachne on June 12 and 13.[64] A Russian milblogger claimed that Ukrainian forces counterattacked near Shevchenko (south of Pokrovsk).[65]

The deputy commander of a Ukrainian brigade operating in the Pokrovsk direction reported that Russian forces have increased the intensity of their attacks and are attacking in small infantry groups consisting of one to two soldiers.[66] The deputy commander added that Russian forces have not recently conducted any mechanized assaults and are using tanks to fire from closed positions. A spokesperson of a Ukrainian brigade operating in the Pokrovsk direction also reported that Russian forces have almost entirely stopped using armored vehicles and are using motorcycles to quickly traverse open terrain and reach Ukrainian positions.[67] The spokesperson reported that Russian forces continue to try to accumulate forces in an area before consolidating new positions.

Russian forces continued offensive operations in the Novopavlivka direction on June 13 but did not make confirmed advances.

Unconfirmed claims: Russian milbloggers continued to claim that Russian forces seized Horikhove (southeast of Novopavlivka).[68] Russian sources claimed Russian forces advanced southwest of Kotlyarivka (east of Novopavlivka), near Novomykolaivka and Novoserhiivka (both northeast of Novopavlivka), three kilometers west of Horikhove into Dnipropetrovsk Oblast.[69]

Russian forces conducted offensive operations northeast of Novopavlivka near Novoserhiivka, Novomykolaivka, and Muravka and southeast of Novopavlivka near Horikhove and Bohdanivka on June 12 and 13.[70]

Ukrainian Southern Defense Forces Spokesperson Colonel Vyacheslav Voloshyn reported that the Russian military command is bringing up reserves in order to intensify offensive operations in the Novopavlivka direction.[71] The deputy commander of a Ukrainian battalion operating in the Novopavlivka direction stated that the Russian military command transferred "fresh" units to the area after Russian forces pushed Ukrainian forces out of Kursk Oblast, resulting in an increase in the number of Russian assaults and drone strikes in the Novopavlivka direction.[72] The deputy commander stated that Russian forces often set up ambushes with FPV drones with fiber optic cables against Ukrainian logistics routes.

Order of Battle: Elements of the Russian 90th Tank Division (41st CAA, CMD) are reportedly operating in the Novopavlivka direction in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, elements of the 80th Tank Regiment (90th Tank Division) are reportedly operating near Horikhove, and elements of the 1444th Regiment (reportedly of the 74th Motorized Rifle Brigade, 41st CAA) are reportedly operating in Muravka.[73]

Russian forces continued offensive operations in the Kurakhove direction on June 13 but did not make confirmed advances.

Unconfirmed claims: A Russian milblogger claimed that Russian forces advanced toward Zaporizhzhia (west of Kurakhove) and south of Dachne (northwest of Kurakhove).[74]

Russian forces conducted offensive operations west of Kurakhove near Bahatyr and Oleksiivka and southwest of Kurakhove near Odradne on June 12 and 13.[75] Ukraine's Khortytsia Group of Forces reported on June 13 that Russian forces conducted an unsuccessful attack with four motorcycles in the direction of Zaporizhzhia.[76]

A Kremlin-affiliated Russian milblogger claimed that Russian forces have seized most of Oleksiivka, but that the situation in the western part of the settlement remains unclear.[77] The milblogger claimed that the information that Russian forces seized Zelenyi Kut and Novoukrainka (both west of Oleksiivka) is unconfirmed.

Order of Battle: Elements of the Russian 114th Motorized Rifle Brigade (51st CAA, formerly 1st Donetsk People's Republic [DNR] AC, SMD) are reportedly operating in Oleksiivka.[78]

Russian forces recently advanced in the Velyka Novosilka direction.

Assessed Russian advances: Geolocated footage published on June 13 indicates that Russian forces recently advanced in central Komar, east of Komar, and southeast of Shevchenko (both northwest of Velyka Novosilka).[79]

Unconfirmed claims: The Russian Ministry of Defense (MoD) claimed on June 13 that Russian forces seized Komar.[80] Russian Defense Minister Andrei Belousov credited elements of the Russian 336th Naval Infantry Brigade (Baltic Fleet) with the reported seizure, and Russian milbloggers also credited elements of the 37th Motorized Rifle Brigade (36th CAA, Eastern Military District [EMD]) with the seizure.[81] Russian milbloggers also claimed that Russian forces advanced northeast of Komar, south of Vilne Pole (northwest of Velyka Novosilka), and north of Novosilka (west of Velyka Novosilka).[82]

Russian forces attacked north of Velyka Novosilka near Novyi Komar; northwest of Velyka Novosilka near Skudne, Burlatske, Vesele, Perebudova, Dniproenerhiya, Fedorivka, Vilne Pole, and Shevchenko and toward Myrne; and west of Velyka Novosilka near Novosilka and Zelene Pole on June 12 and 13.[83] A Russian milblogger claimed that Ukrainian forces counterattacked near Shevchenko.[84]

Order of Battle: Drone operators of the Russian 14th Spetsnaz Brigade (GRU) are reportedly operating in the Velyka Novosilka direction.[85]

Russian Supporting Effort – Southern Axis (Russian objective: Maintain frontline positions, secure rear areas against Ukrainian strikes, and advance within tube artillery range of Zaporizhzhia City)

Russian forces continued limited attacks in the Hulyaipole direction on June 13 but did not make confirmed advances.

Unconfirmed claims: Russian milbloggers claimed that Russian forces entered southern Malynivka and advanced southwest of Vysoke (both east of Hulyaipole).[86]

Russian forces conducted offensive operations east of Hulyaipole near Malynivka on June 12 and 13.[87]

Ukrainian Southern Defense Forces Spokesperson Colonel Vyacheslav Voloshyn reported on June 13 that the Russian military command is bringing up reserves in the Hulyaipole direction.[88]

Russian forces continued offensive operations in the Zaporizhia direction on June 13 but did not advance.

Russian forces attacked southwest of Orikhiv near Nesteryanka and Novoandriivka and west of Orikhiv toward Pavlivka on June 12 and 13.[89]

Voloshyn reported on June 13 that the Russian military command is bringing up reserves in the Orikhiv direction.[90]

Russian forces conducted limited ground assaults in the Kherson direction on June 12 and 13 but did not advance.[91]

Voloshyn reported on June 13 that Russian forces are constantly attempting to cross the straits in the Dnipro River using small infantry groups as part of efforts to seize bridgeheads on islands in the Dnipro River Delta but have yet to reach the greater Dnipro River.[92] Voloshyn noted that Russian forces are also attempting to reach the Antonivsky Bridge (east of Kherson City) and are regularly conducting reconnaissance near Ivanivka and Kozatske (both northeast of Kherson City).

Russian Air, Missile, and Drone Campaign (Russian Objective: Target Ukrainian military and civilian infrastructure in the rear and on the frontline)

Russian forces conducted a series of drone and missile strikes against Ukraine on the night of June 12 to 13. The Ukrainian Air Force reported that Russian forces launched four Iskander-M ballistic missiles from Voronezh and Rostov oblasts and 55 Shahed and decoy drones from the directions of Kursk City; Millerovo, Rostov Oblast; and Primorsko-Akhtarsk, Krasnodar Krai.[93] The Ukrainian Air Force reported that Ukrainian forces shot down 28 drones and that 15 drones were "lost” or suppressed by Ukrainian electronic warfare (EW) systems. The Ukrainian Air Force reported that the Russian strikes primarily targeted Kharkiv, Donetsk, and Dnipropetrovsk oblasts and struck nine unspecified locations.

Significant activity in Belarus (Russian efforts to increase its military presence in Belarus and further integrate Belarus into Russian-favorable frameworks)

Nothing significant to report.

 

Note: ISW does not receive any classified material from any source, uses only publicly available information, and draws extensively on Russian, Ukrainian, and Western reporting and social media as well as commercially available satellite imagery and other geospatial data as the basis for these reports. References to all sources used are provided in the endnotes of each update.

---

[1] http://kremlin dot ru/events/president/news/77181

[2] https://mid dot ru/ru/foreign_policy/news/2025920/

[3] https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/adversary-entente-task-force-update-june-11-2025

[4] https://t.me/MID_Russia/61015

[5] https://t.me/russianembassytehran/3216; https://t.me/RussiaInIsrael/5745

[6] https://t.me/Kosachev62/1796; https://t.me/tass_agency/319781; https://t.me/slutsky_l/3508; https://t.me/DeputatZhuravlev/13016

[7] https://www.gazeta dot ru/army/news/2025/06/13/26027552.shtml

[8] https://t.me/DeputatZhuravlev/13016

[9] https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cn4qe4w1n2go

[10] https://www.bofbulletin dot fi/en/blogs/2025/falling-oil-prices-reduce-russia-s-budget-revenues/

[11] https://understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russias-weakness-offers-leverage ; https://understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-may-26-2025 ; https://isw.pub/UkrWar052525 ; https://isw.pub/UkrWar051825 ; https://isw.pub/UkrWar051625

[12] https://isw.pub/UkrWar012425

[13] http://kremlin dot ru/events/president/news/77180

[14] https://isw.pub/UkrWar060125

[15] https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-march-23-2024; https://jamestown.org/program/russias-mystery-of-missile-defense/; https://www.twz.com/10738/russias-plans-for-new-nuclear-carriers-and-destroyers-on-indefinite-hold ; https://www.twz.com/33099/russia-has-abandoned-its-massive-nuclear-destroyer-and-supersized-frigate-programs; https://www.iiss.org/online-analysis//military-balance/2018/02/russia-2027; https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-december-12-2023

[16] https://isw.pub/UkrWar041125; https://isw.pub/UkrWar06272024

[17] https://isw.pub/UkrWar053125; https://isw.pub/UkrWar060325

[18] https://t.me/Koord_shtab/13106

[19] https://t.me/GeneralStaffZSU/25419; https://t.me/GeneralStaffZSU/25392; https://t.me/GeneralStaffZSU/25389

[20] https://t.me/dva_majors/73293; https://t.me/wargonzo/27181

[21] https://t.me/motopatriot78/37062; https://t.me/RVvoenkor/93368

[22] https://x.com/richardzai38580/status/1933537558971232611 ; https://t.me/DKulko/1096

[23] https://t.me/mod_russia/53733 ; https://t.me/wargonzo/27190 ; https://t.me/dva_majors/73300 ; https://t.me/boris_rozhin/168252 ; https://t.me/RVvoenkor/93404; https://t.me/RVvoenkor/93407 ; https://t.me/rusich_army/24127

[24] https://t.me/RVvoenkor/93367 ; https://t.me/dva_majors/73293 ; https://t.me/DnevnikDesantnika/30042 ; https://t.me/dva_majors/73300 ; https://t.me/boris_rozhin/168252 ; https://t.me/wargonzo/27181 ; https://t.me/z_arhiv/31883 ; https://t.me/rusich_army/24127

[25] https://t.me/RVvoenkor/93404; https://t.me/RVvoenkor/93407 ; https://t.me/dva_majors/73293

[26] https://t.me/dva_majors/73293 ; https://t.me/DnevnikDesantnika/30042 ; https://t.me/zvizdecmanhustu/2799 ; https://t.me/rusich_army/24127

[27] https://t.me/mod_russia/53738

[28] https://t.me/motopatriot78/37082

[29] https://t.me/GeneralStaffZSU/25419 ; https://t.me/GeneralStaffZSU/25392; https://t.me/Khortytsky_wind/12101 ; https://t.me/DnevnikDesantnika/30011

[30] https://t.me/DnevnikDesantnika/30011

[31] https://t.me/DnevnikDesantnika/30011

[32] https://armyinform.com dot ua/2025/06/13/nebo-kyshyt-dronamy-sytuacziya-na-harkivshhyni/

[33] https:// t.me/motopatriot78/37058

[34] https://t.me/GeneralStaffZSU/25419; https://t.me/GeneralStaffZSU/25392 ; https://t.me/GeneralStaffZSU/25389 ; https://t.me/dva_majors/73293; https://t.me/Khortytsky_wind/12101; https://t.me/Sladkov_plus/13411

[35] https://armyinform dot com.ua/2025/06/13/kupyanskyj-napryamok-rosijskyh-shturmiv-stalo-menshe-okupanty-peresily-na-bagi/; https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_hR6x_KqC5A

[36] https://t.me/GeneralStaffZSU/25419; https://t.me/GeneralStaffZSU/25392 ; https://t.me/GeneralStaffZSU/25389; https://t.me/Khortytsky_wind/12101

[37] https://t.me/DnevnikDesantnika/30006

[38] https://t.me/GeneralStaffZSU/25419; https://t.me/GeneralStaffZSU/25392 ; https://t.me/GeneralStaffZSU/25389; https://t.me/DnevnikDesantnika/30006

[39] https://t.me/motopatriot78/37075

[40] https://t.me/RVvoenkor/93358; https://t.me/motopatriot78/37076; https://t.me/dva_majors/73293

[41] https://t.me/GeneralStaffZSU/25419; https://t.me/GeneralStaffZSU/25492; https://t.me/GeneralStaffZSU/25489; https://t.me/motopatriot78/37076; https://t.me/Khortytsky_wind/12101

[42] https://armyinform.com dot ua/2025/06/13/u-sylah-oborony-rozpovily-pro-taktyku-vorozhyh-motoczyklistiv-na-siverskomu-napryamku/ ; https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_hR6x_KqC5A

[43] https://t.me/motopatriot78/37076

[44] https://x.com/AudaxonX/status/1933271016526213515; https://x.com/AudaxonX/status/1933271257320984910; https://t.me/yuzhny_front_ZOV/15865

[45] https://t.me/boris_rozhin/168255; https://t.me/voenkorKotenok/65042; https://t.me/wargonzo/27181;

[46] https://t.me/GeneralStaffZSU/25419; https://t.me/GeneralStaffZSU/25492; https://t.me/GeneralStaffZSU/25489; https://suspilne dot media/donbas/1041581-vihid-do-kostantinivki-prioritetna-cil-vijsk-rf-dani-93-ombr-holodnij-ar/; https://t.me/rybar/71250; https://t.me/wargonzo/27181; https://t.me/voenkorKotenok/65042

[47] https://armyinform.com dot ua/2025/06/13/rosijska-tehnika-majzhe-pokynula-chasiv-yar-vijskovi-pro-osoblyvosti-taktyky-voroga-u-misti/

[48] https://armyinform.com dot ua/2025/06/13/fokus-na-zhyrnyh-yak-syly-oborony-vykorystovuyut-drony-na-optovolokni/

[49] https://t.me/DnevnikDesantnika/30016

[50] https://x.com/AudaxonX/status/1933295487169569084; https://x.com/AudaxonX/status/1933297721454035182; https://t.me/blackraven93ua/505; https://x.com/AudaxonX/status/1933270120316690697; https://x.com/AudaxonX/status/1933270402261737559; https://t.me/SouthernRepublic/23027

[51] https://t.me/DnevnikDesantnika/30007; https://t.me/boris_rozhin/168255; https://t.me/z_arhiv/31880

[52] https://t.me/motopatriot78/37078; https://t.me/z_arhiv/31880; https://t.me/z_arhiv/31877; https://t.me/boris_rozhin/168255

[53] https://t.me/GeneralStaffZSU/25419; https://t.me/GeneralStaffZSU/25392; https://t.me/GeneralStaffZSU/25389 https://t.me/Khortytsky_wind/12101; https://t.me/rybar/71250; https://t.me/motopatriot78/37078; https://suspilne dot media/donbas/1041581-vihid-do-kostantinivki-prioritetna-cil-vijsk-rf-dani-93-ombr-holodnij-ar/; https://t.me/rybar/71248

[54] https://armyinform dot com.ua/2025/06/13/vorog-lize-v-lisosmugy-na-donechchyni-rosiyany-atakuyut-na-motoczyklah/

[55] https://suspilne dot media/donbas/1041581-vihid-do-kostantinivki-prioritetna-cil-vijsk-rf-dani-93-ombr-holodnij-ar/

[56] https://t.me/nm_dnr/13921

[57] https://t.me/motopatriot78/37078

[58] https://t.me/motopatriot78/37078

[59] https://t.me/SouthernRepublic/23027; https://x.com/AudaxonX/status/1933270402261737559; https://x.com/AudaxonX/status/1933270120316690697

[60] https://x.com/Map_Hargoo/status/1933159309451387390 ; https:// t.co/IQz2jQWewo

[61] https://x.com/AudaxonX/status/1933192322641965522 ; https://www.instagram.com/reel/DKv865YKzQD/

[62] https://t.me/mod_russia/53733

[63] https://t.me/motopatriot78/37074 ; https://t.me/z_arhiv/31858 ; https:// t.me/z_arhiv/31877

[64] https://t.me/GeneralStaffZSU/25419 ; https://t.me/GeneralStaffZSU/25392 ; https://t.me/GeneralStaffZSU/25389 ; https://t.me/Khortytsky_wind/12101 ; https://t.me/yurasumy/23501

[65] https://t.me/DnevnikDesantnika/30029

[66] https://armyinform.com dot ua/2025/06/12/na-pokrovskomu-napryamku-pihotni-shturmy-tanky-u-voroga-lyshe-yak-artyleriya/ ; https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_hR6x_KqC5A

[67] https://armyinform.com dot ua/2025/06/13/odnorazovi-motoczyklisty-na-pokrovskomu-napryamku-vorog-shturmuye-bez-bronetehniky/

[68] https://t.me/voenkorKotenok/65041 ; https://t.me/DnevnikDesantnika/30025 ; https://t.me/yurasumy/23500 ; https://t.me/yurasumy/23500 ; https://t.me/DnevnikDesantnika/30009 ; https://t.me/dva_majors/73293 ; https://t.me/wargonzo/27181 ; https://t.me/boris_rozhin/168255

[69] https://t.me/DnevnikDesantnika/30009 ; https://t.me/yurasumy/23500 ; https:// t.me/z_arhiv/31867

[70] https://t.me/voenkorKotenok/65041 ; https://t.me/yurasumy/23500 ; https://t.me/rybar/71248 ; https://t.me/rybar/71250 ; https://t.me/rybar/71255 ; https://t.me/GeneralStaffZSU/25419 ; https://t.me/GeneralStaffZSU/25392 ; https://t.me/GeneralStaffZSU/25389 ; https://t.me/Khortytsky_wind/12101

[71] https://armyinform.com dot ua/2025/06/13/okupanty-na-pivdni-pidtyaguyut-rezervy-namagayuchys-kompensuvaty-vtraty/; https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Qyulh3wsf2Y

[72] https://armyinform.com dot ua/2025/06/13/rozbylysya-ob-nashu-oboronu-i-zalyshylysya-v-poli-na-novopavlivskomu-napryamku-intensyvni-shturmy/ ; https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=j5TqaWCCdUg

[73] https://t.me/yurasumy/23500 ; https://t.me/motopatriot78/37063 ; https://t.me/NgP_raZVedka/21607

[74] https://t.me/voenkorKotenok/65041

[75] https://t.me/GeneralStaffZSU/25419; https://t.me/GeneralStaffZSU/25392 ; https://t.me/GeneralStaffZSU/25389; https://t.me/Khortytsky_wind/12101

[76] https://t.me/Khortytsky_wind/12101

[77] https://t.me/rybar/71255

[78] https://t.me/rybar/71255

[79] https://x.com/richardzai38580/status/1933473347394023586; https://x.com/richardzai38580/status/1933473551123952056; https://t.me/creamy_caprice/9382; https://t.me/voin_dv/15462; https://t.me/osintpen/1200 ; https://x.com/auditor_ya/status/1933431782394798194; https://x.com/PuenteUribarri/status/1933415196401250640; https://t.me/BBS_110/381 ; https://x.com/richardzai38580/status/1933461917454250270 ; https://t.me/voin_dv/15462

[80] https://t.me/mod_russia/53733

[81] https://t.me/mod_russia/53736 ; https://t.me/voin_dv/15462 ; https://t.me/voin_dv/15464 ; https://x.com/richardzai38580/status/1933473347394023586; https://x.com/richardzai38580/status/1933473551123952056; https://t.me/creamy_caprice/9382; https://t.me/voin_dv/15462; https://t.me/osintpen/1200 ; https://t.me/dva_majors/73314 ; https://t.me/boris_rozhin/168266 ; https://t.me/z_arhiv/31870 ; https://t.me/RVvoenkor/93407

[82] https://t.me/z_arhiv/31861 ; https://t.me/wargonzo/27181

[83] https://t.me/Khortytsky_wind/12101 ; https://t.me/GeneralStaffZSU/25389 ; https://t.me/GeneralStaffZSU/25392 ; https://t.me/GeneralStaffZSU/25419 ; https://t.me/voin_dv/15468 ; https://t.me/dva_majors/73293 ; https://t.me/rybar/71250 ; https://t.me/wargonzo/27192

[84] https://t.me/voin_dv/15468

[85] https://t.me/voin_dv/15449 ; https://t.me/boris_rozhin/168229 ; https://t.me/voin_dv/15455

[86] https://t.me/voenkorKotenok/65040 ; https://t.me/boris_rozhin/168210 ; https//t.me/z_arhiv/31858

[87] https://t.me/voin_dv/15468 ; https://t.me/GeneralStaffZSU/25419 ; https://t.me/GeneralStaffZSU/25392 ; https://t.me/GeneralStaffZSU/25389

[88] https://armyinform.com dot ua/2025/06/13/okupanty-na-pivdni-pidtyaguyut-rezervy-namagayuchys-kompensuvaty-vtraty/; https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Qyulh3wsf2Y

[89] https://t.me/GeneralStaffZSU/25419 ; https://t.me/GeneralStaffZSU/25392 ; https://t.me/GeneralStaffZSU/25389

[90] https://armyinform.com dot ua/2025/06/13/okupanty-na-pivdni-pidtyaguyut-rezervy-namagayuchys-kompensuvaty-vtraty/; https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Qyulh3wsf2Y

[91] https://t.me/GeneralStaffZSU/25419 ; https://t.me/GeneralStaffZSU/25392 ; https://t.me/GeneralStaffZSU/25389

[92] https://armyinform.com dot ua/2025/06/13/na-livoberezhzhi-hersonshhyny-rosiyany-namagayutsya-zakripytysya-na-ostrovah/; https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Qyulh3wsf2Y

[93] https://t.me/kpszsu/36233